PolymarketTech and scienceTrading

Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?

Part of SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Jul 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Jul 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?
    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 15th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).

    If the 15th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    End date
    Jul 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Polymarket sometimes posts a clarification on Discord or X before it edits the market, or without editing it. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.