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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?

Part of SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Dec 1, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Dec 1, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?
    Rules

    If the 15th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

    End date
    Dec 1, 2026, 04:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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