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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?

Part of SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Nov 16, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

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Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Nov 16, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?
    Rules

    If the 15th SpaceX Starship flight test lifts off from its launch pad by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    Liftoff is defined as the vehicle rising off the launch mount under its own power; a static fire, a hold, or an abort after ignition does not count.

    Any subsequent anomaly after liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

    The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    End date
    Nov 16, 2026, 04:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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