Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,406 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Baidu be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will DeepSeek be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027? Base iPhone 18 released by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Apr 1
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? Anthropic lab leak by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Anthropic lab leak by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? AI bubble burst by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? ChatGPT Full Outage by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026? Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?	Polymarket	—	—	Oct 31
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026? Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 31
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026? What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.