Weather markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

2,113 open weather markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

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MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 31, 2026?: 66° to 67° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the maximum temperature be >67° on Oct 31, 2026?: 68° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 31, 2026?: 61° to 62° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Oct 2026 temperature increase?: 1.02999 or below Kalshi — — Nov 16 0
Oct 2026 temperature increase?: 1.30001 or above Kalshi — — Nov 16 0
Will there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 1 Kalshi — — Dec 2 0
Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 2 Kalshi — — Dec 2 0
Will there be more than 3 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 3 Kalshi — — Dec 2 0
Will there be more than 6 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 6 Kalshi — — Dec 2 0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?: Before 2027 Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?: Above 8 Kalshi — — Dec 1 0
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?: Above 10 Kalshi — — Dec 1 0
Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026? Kalshi — — Dec 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 31, 2026?: 55° to 56° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 31, 2026?: 57° to 58° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 31, 2026?: 59° to 60° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >62° on Oct 31, 2026?: 63° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 31, 2026?: 57° to 58° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 31, 2026?: 59° to 60° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 31, 2026?: 61° to 62° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 31, 2026?: 63° to 64° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >64° on Oct 31, 2026?: 65° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 31, 2026?: 38° to 39° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 31, 2026?: 40° to 41° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >45° on Oct 31, 2026?: 46° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 31, 2026?: 46° to 47° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 31, 2026?: 48° to 49° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 31, 2026?: 50° to 51° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >53° on Oct 31, 2026?: 54° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 31, 2026?: 56° to 57° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 31, 2026?: 60° to 61° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >63° on Oct 31, 2026?: 64° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 31, 2026?: 45° to 46° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be <37° on Oct 31, 2026?: 36° or below Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >44° on Oct 31, 2026?: 45° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 31, 2026?: 63° to 64° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 31, 2026?: 69° to 70° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >70° on Oct 31, 2026?: 71° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 31, 2026?: 56° to 57° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 31, 2026?: 62° to 63° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >63° on Oct 31, 2026?: 64° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 31, 2026?: 57° to 58° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 31, 2026?: 59° to 60° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >60° on Oct 31, 2026?: 61° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >77° on Oct 31, 2026?: 78° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >44° on Oct 31, 2026?: 45° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be >70° on Oct 31, 2026?: 71° or above Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 31, 2026?: 43° to 44° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 31, 2026?: 45° to 46° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 31, 2026?: 47° to 48° Kalshi — — Nov 1 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.