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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: China

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Yes price
36¢
checked
24h volume
$108
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2031
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2031
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
    Outcome
    China
    Rules

    If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2031, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 1, 2031, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    The market will close if a country launches a manned Moon mission.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 14:57 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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