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Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

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Yes price
5.5¢
checked
24h volume
$413
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 8

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026
    Outcome
    Above 2
    Rules

    If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 2, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.

    Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables. The Contract has been amended to provide that, unless otherwise specified, disease cases refer to human cases.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2027, 14:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 8, 2026, 20:22 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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