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What will be the top AI model on Nov 30, 2026?: Gemini 4 Carbon (High)

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Yes price
77¢
checked
24h volume
$46
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 30, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 30, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    What will be the top AI model on Nov 30, 2026?
    Outcome
    Gemini 4 Carbon (High)
    Rules

    If Gemini 4 Carbon (High) is the top-ranked AI model on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

    Close time
    Nov 30, 2026, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 30, 2026, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 05:42 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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