Economy markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,586 open economy markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

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MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $3 Jan 1 0
Will average gas prices go above $4.45 by Nov 30, 2026?: Above $4.45 Kalshi 17¢ $2 Nov 30 0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
GDP growth in 2026
Polymarket 42¢ $1 Jan 29 0
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7400?: Above 3.7400 Kalshi 6¢ $1 Nov 1 0
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.3950?: Above 3.3950 Kalshi 6¢ $1 Nov 1 0
Will a Congressional stock trading ban become law by December 31, 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 Kalshi 5.9¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Polymarket 17¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 5.4¢ $0 Jan 19 0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Polymarket 1.7¢ $0 Feb 1 0
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Polymarket 2.1¢ $0 Feb 1 0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Polymarket 12¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 14¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 9.5¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 2.8¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 63¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 31¢ $0 Jan 21 0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Polymarket 5.5¢ $0 Dec 31 0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Polymarket 6¢ $0 Dec 31 0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
Polymarket 24¢ $0 Dec 31 0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
Polymarket 22¢ $0 Dec 31 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 0.9¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 11¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 27¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 3.7¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 6.8¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Polymarket 25¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Polymarket 69¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Polymarket 2.4¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
Polymarket 0.6¢ $0 Jan 31 0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
Polymarket 96¢ $0 Jan 31 0
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 0.8¢ $0 Jan 11 0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
China Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 10 0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
Polymarket 5¢ $0 Dec 1 0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 0.7¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 1¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 0.7¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket 1.1¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $0 Jan 1 0
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Polymarket 3.3¢ $0 Jan 1 0
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? Polymarket 3.7¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Deel IPO before 2027?
IPOs before 2027?
Polymarket 0.6¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Glean IPO before 2027?
IPOs before 2027?
Polymarket 3.3¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket 3.1¢ $0 Jan 1 0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Polymarket 8¢ $0 Jan 1 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.