Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,578 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	9.7¢	$2.6k	in 26 h
Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election?: Mike Thompson	Kalshi	56¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 2 percentage points?: Husted, 2+ pts	Kalshi	24¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? NC-11 House Election Winner	Polymarket	87¢	$2.6k	in 26 h
Will at least 5 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?: 5 or more	Kalshi	61¢	$2.5k	Dec 31
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?: Donalds, 6+ pts	Kalshi	26¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-05?: Chaz Molder	Kalshi	11¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for PA-15?: Glenn Thompson	Kalshi	99¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Who will win the Arizona State Senate?: Democratic party	Kalshi	74¢	$2.5k	Jan 25
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 13 percentage points?: Flanagan, 13+ pts	Kalshi	16¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 14 percentage points?: Moody, 14+ pts	Kalshi	10¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 18 percentage points?: Ossoff, 18+ pts	Kalshi	7.6¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 4 percentage points?: Cooper, 4+ pts	Kalshi	93¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 3 percentage points?: Ricketts, 3+ pts	Kalshi	49¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? NC-14 House Election Winner	Polymarket	81¢	$2.5k	in 26 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 11 percentage points?: Moody, 11+ pts	Kalshi	16¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the U.S. Senate election in Alaska be at least 4 percentage points?: Mary Peltola, 4+ pts	Kalshi	40¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.5k	Nov 1
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$2.5k	Nov 8
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	21¢	$2.4k	in 26 h
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat? OK-05 House Election Winner	Polymarket	17¢	$2.4k	in 26 h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	5.1¢	$2.4k	Nov 8
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?: Herrera, 5+ pts	Kalshi	19¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for IL-08?: Jennifer Davis	Kalshi	3.4¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? OH-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	12¢	$2.4k	in 26 h
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Argentina Presidential Election Winner	Polymarket	0.9¢	$2.4k	Oct 25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 9%-12%? CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	16¢	$2.4k	in 26 h
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Nov 1, 2026?: 38.1%	Kalshi	2¢	$2.4k	Nov 1
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? AZ-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	57¢	$2.4k	in 26 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Ohio be at least 4 percentage points?: Acton, 4+ pts	Kalshi	56¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-01?: Callie Barr	Kalshi	13¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-10?: Christina Hines	Kalshi	74¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	17¢	$2.3k	in 26 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?: Rogers, 5+ pts	Kalshi	8.5¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 8% and 10%?: Abdul El-Sayed, 8-10%	Kalshi	6.5¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-06?: Richard Pan	Kalshi	95¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 5 percentage points?: Flanagan, 5+ pts	Kalshi	75¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Iowa Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	13¢	$2.3k	in 26 h
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms? Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?	Polymarket	5¢	$2.3k	in 26 h
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?	Kalshi	15¢	$2.3k	Jan 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	14¢	$2.3k	in 26 h
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-06?: Doug Chapin	Kalshi	6.5¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.3k	Oct 25
Manchin Senate combo: Both win?	Kalshi	15¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-08?: Trina Swanson	Kalshi	15¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	6¢	$2.3k	in 26 h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	22¢	$2.3k	in 26 h
Will Republican win the House race for TN-02?: Tim Burchett	Kalshi	98¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-38?: Melissa McDonough	Kalshi	4.4¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? FL-26 House Election Winner	Polymarket	14¢	$2.3k	in 26 h

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.