Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,578 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?	Kalshi	3.5¢	$2.6k	Jan 20
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts	Kalshi	56¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 18 percentage points?: Ossoff, 18+ pts	Kalshi	7.7¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-12?: Ceretta Smith	Kalshi	13¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? NC-11 House Election Winner	Polymarket	87¢	$2.6k	in 27 h
Will Democratic win the House race for MD-01?: Dan Schwartz	Kalshi	13¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 8%?: Adam Hamilton, ≥8%	Kalshi	8.5¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-45?: Derek Tran	Kalshi	94¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?: Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra	Kalshi	39¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 13 percentage points?: Flanagan, 13+ pts	Kalshi	16¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 3 percentage points?: Bottoms, 3+ pts	Kalshi	48¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for PA-15?: Glenn Thompson	Kalshi	99¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Who will win the Arizona State Senate?: Democratic party	Kalshi	74¢	$2.5k	Jan 25
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Ohio be at least 4 percentage points?: Acton, 4+ pts	Kalshi	56¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?: Yes	Kalshi	26¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?: Moody, 3+ pts	Kalshi	65¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 4 percentage points?: Cooper, 4+ pts	Kalshi	93¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for OH-15?: Mike Carey	Kalshi	64¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	9.4¢	$2.5k	in 27 h
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-11?: Chris Harden	Kalshi	4.9¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-7?: Thomas Kean Jr.	Kalshi	5.4¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?: Donalds, 6+ pts	Kalshi	25¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.5k	Nov 1
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Cooper, 13+ pts	Kalshi	63¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$2.5k	Nov 8
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 5 percentage points?: Moody, 5+ pts	Kalshi	55¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	5.1¢	$2.4k	Nov 8
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? MN-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	63¢	$2.4k	in 27 h
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 6% and 8%?: Adam Hamilton, 6-8%	Kalshi	7.5¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Argentina Presidential Election Winner	Polymarket	0.9¢	$2.4k	Oct 25
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 12 percentage points?: Ossoff, 12+ pts	Kalshi	49¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 9%-12%? CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	16¢	$2.4k	in 27 h
Will Democratic win the House race for CO-8?: Manny Rutinel	Kalshi	89¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Nov 1, 2026?: 38.1%	Kalshi	2¢	$2.4k	Nov 1
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? AZ-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	57¢	$2.4k	in 27 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?: Moody, 6+ pts	Kalshi	46¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?: Hinson, 6+ pts	Kalshi	13¢	$2.4k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? NY-21 House Election Winner	Polymarket	70¢	$2.4k	in 27 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?: Holscher, 1+ pts	Kalshi	30¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	17¢	$2.3k	in 27 h
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Iowa Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	13¢	$2.3k	in 27 h
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms? Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?	Polymarket	5¢	$2.3k	in 27 h
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?	Kalshi	15¢	$2.3k	Jan 3
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-06?: Richard Pan	Kalshi	95¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	14¢	$2.3k	in 27 h
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.3k	Oct 25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	6¢	$2.3k	in 27 h
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? VA-05 House Election Winner	Polymarket	36¢	$2.3k	in 27 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?: Hinson, 2+ pts	Kalshi	36¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will a Republican win the House race for WI-3?: Derrick Van Orden	Kalshi	12¢	$2.3k	Nov 3

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.