Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,534 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 6% and 8%?: Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%	Kalshi	14¢	$2.8k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Brown, 3+ pts	Kalshi	52¢	$2.8k	Nov 3
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska? Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska	Polymarket	36¢	$2.8k	in 24 h
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? AZ-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	45¢	$2.7k	in 29 h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	0.9¢	$2.7k	Nov 8
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be exactly 0 governors after the 2026 midterms?: Tie	Kalshi	4.7¢	$2.7k	Jan 1
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Argentina Presidential Election Winner	Polymarket	4.1¢	$2.7k	Oct 25
Will Maine Governor winner be Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Republican party?: Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win	Kalshi	28¢	$2.7k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	13¢	$2.7k	in 29 h
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-02?: Zyon Khalifa	Kalshi	8.5¢	$2.7k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? NC-14 House Election Winner	Polymarket	78¢	$2.7k	in 29 h
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	3.6¢	$2.7k	Nov 8
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? IA-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	28¢	$2.7k	in 29 h
Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election? Kansas Senate and Governor Combo	Polymarket	0.8¢	$2.7k	in 29 h
Will exactly 1 Senate Democrat lose re-election in 2026?: Exactly 1	Kalshi	3.1¢	$2.6k	Dec 31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	16¢	$2.6k	in 29 h
Who will win the Texas House of Representatives?: Democratic party	Kalshi	24¢	$2.6k	Jan 26
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.6k	in 29 h
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	8.3¢	$2.6k	in 29 h
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? IA-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	6.5¢	$2.6k	in 29 h
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	5.1¢	$2.6k	Nov 8
Will Ohio Governor winner be Republican party and Ohio Senate winner be Republican party?: Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win	Kalshi	18¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? AZ-06 House Election Winner	Polymarket	11¢	$2.6k	in 29 h
Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?	Kalshi	3.5¢	$2.6k	Jan 20
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts	Kalshi	56¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 18 percentage points?: Ossoff, 18+ pts	Kalshi	7.7¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Who will win the Arizona State Senate?: Democratic party	Kalshi	74¢	$2.6k	Jan 25
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-12?: Ceretta Smith	Kalshi	13¢	$2.6k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for MD-01?: Dan Schwartz	Kalshi	13¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 8%?: Adam Hamilton, ≥8%	Kalshi	8.5¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-45?: Derek Tran	Kalshi	94¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?: Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra	Kalshi	39¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 13 percentage points?: Flanagan, 13+ pts	Kalshi	16¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 3 percentage points?: Bottoms, 3+ pts	Kalshi	48¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for PA-15?: Glenn Thompson	Kalshi	99¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? Alabama Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	5.5¢	$2.5k	in 29 h
Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?: Yes	Kalshi	26¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Graham, 3+ pts	Kalshi	47¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?: Abbott, 9+ pts	Kalshi	9.3¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?: Moody, 3+ pts	Kalshi	65¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 4 percentage points?: Cooper, 4+ pts	Kalshi	93¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for OH-15?: Mike Carey	Kalshi	64¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	9.4¢	$2.5k	in 29 h
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? NC-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	13¢	$2.5k	in 29 h
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-11?: Chris Harden	Kalshi	4.9¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Ohio be at least 4 percentage points?: Acton, 4+ pts	Kalshi	57¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-7?: Thomas Kean Jr.	Kalshi	5.4¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? New Mexico Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	4¢	$2.5k	in 29 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?: Donalds, 6+ pts	Kalshi	25¢	$2.5k	Nov 3
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.5k	Nov 1

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.