Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,578 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	22¢	$2.3k	in 25 h
Will Republican win the House race for TN-02?: Tim Burchett	Kalshi	98¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	8¢	$2.3k	in 25 h
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-38?: Melissa McDonough	Kalshi	4.4¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? FL-26 House Election Winner	Polymarket	14¢	$2.3k	in 25 h
Will Texas US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?	Kalshi	34¢	$2.3k	Nov 10
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 12 percentage points?: Cooper, 12+ pts	Kalshi	67¢	$2.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? NC-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	75¢	$2.2k	in 25 h
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-13?: Adam Gray	Kalshi	93¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	8.7¢	$2.2k	in 25 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts	Kalshi	56¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	16¢	$2.2k	Nov 8
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%? NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	27¢	$2.2k	in 25 h
Will Republican win the House race for VA-1?: Rob Wittman	Kalshi	37¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? FL-04 House Election Winner	Polymarket	83¢	$2.2k	in 25 h
Will Trump nationalize elections?	Polymarket	6¢	$2.2k	Jan 1
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	8.3¢	$2.2k	in 25 h
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?: Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra	Kalshi	62¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 4 percentage points?: Rogers, 4+ pts	Kalshi	10¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	10¢	$2.1k	in 25 h
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-7?: William Lawrence	Kalshi	79¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will a Democrat win the House race for WI-3?: Rebecca Cooke	Kalshi	88¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for IN-08?: Mark Messmer	Kalshi	97¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.1k	Oct 28
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000? Ohio Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	15¢	$2.1k	in 25 h
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?	Kalshi	17¢	$2.1k	Jan 3
Will Republican win the House race for WI-06?: Glenn Grothman	Kalshi	92¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Cooper, 1+ pts	Kalshi	97¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?: Lawler, 3+ pts	Kalshi	18¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Manchin Senate combo: Both lose?	Kalshi	71¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Husted, 3+ pts	Kalshi	17¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-24?: Kevin Burge	Kalshi	6.2¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for FL-11?: Joe Strada	Kalshi	86¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more? FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	17¢	$2.1k	in 25 h
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	29¢	$2.1k	in 25 h
Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?	Kalshi	1¢	$2.1k	Jan 3
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat? NJ-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	5.5¢	$2.1k	in 25 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 5 percentage points?: Ossoff, 5+ pts	Kalshi	90¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)	Polymarket	13¢	$2.1k	in 25 h
Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? Texas Senate and Governor Combo	Polymarket	38¢	$2k	in 25 h
Will Republican win the House race for FL-04?: Aaron Bean	Kalshi	81¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 1 percentage points?: Jolly, 1+ pts	Kalshi	28¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 8%?: Adam Hamilton, ≥8%	Kalshi	8.5¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?	Kalshi	8.5¢	$2k	Jan 20
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 11 percentage points?: Ken Paxton, 11+ pts	Kalshi	2.1¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will a Republican win the House race for NH-1?: Anthony DiLorenzo	Kalshi	5.6¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-11?: James Pericola	Kalshi	14¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 4% and 6%?: Adam Hamilton, 4-6%	Kalshi	13¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?: Leela Gray	Kalshi	34¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office early?: Before election day 2026	Kalshi	0¢	$2k	in 11 h

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.