Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,578 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?	Kalshi	1¢	$2.2k	Jan 3
Manchin Senate combo: Both win?	Kalshi	15¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for FL-11?: Joe Strada	Kalshi	87¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? NC-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	75¢	$2.2k	in 22 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 1 percentage points?: Jolly, 1+ pts	Kalshi	28¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	8.7¢	$2.2k	in 22 h
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	16¢	$2.2k	Nov 8
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? FL-04 House Election Winner	Polymarket	83¢	$2.2k	in 22 h
Will Trump nationalize elections?	Polymarket	6¢	$2.2k	Jan 1
Will Republican win the House race for IN-08?: Mark Messmer	Kalshi	98¢	$2.2k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	8.3¢	$2.2k	in 22 h
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	10¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? Texas Senate and Governor Combo	Polymarket	44¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-05?: Elizabeth Lee	Kalshi	11¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Polymarket	0¢	$2.1k	Oct 28
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000? Ohio Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	15¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Will Republican win the House race for WI-06?: Glenn Grothman	Kalshi	92¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Husted, 3+ pts	Kalshi	17¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%? GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)	Polymarket	21¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	29¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Rhode Island?: Jack Reed	Kalshi	99¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat? NJ-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	5.5¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Who will win the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election?: Republican party	Kalshi	45¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?: Lawler, 3+ pts	Kalshi	19¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 5 percentage points?: Ossoff, 5+ pts	Kalshi	90¢	$2.1k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)	Polymarket	13¢	$2.1k	in 22 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 1 percentage points?: Bottoms, 1+ pts	Kalshi	66¢	$2k	Nov 3
Who will win the North Carolina State Senate?: Republican party	Kalshi	68¢	$2k	Jan 27
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 242 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 242	Kalshi	55¢	$2k	Jan 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%? NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	19¢	$2k	in 22 h
Will Republican win the House race for FL-04?: Aaron Bean	Kalshi	80¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 8 percentage points?: Democrats, 8+ pts	Kalshi	71¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for MN-07?: Michelle Fischbach	Kalshi	97¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	7¢	$2k	in 22 h
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?	Polymarket	22¢	$2k	in 22 h
Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?	Kalshi	19¢	$2k	Jan 20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%? TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	14¢	$2k	in 22 h
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Nov 1, 2026?: 38.3%	Kalshi	1¢	$2k	Nov 1
Will Republican win the House race for KS-03?: Eric Jenkins	Kalshi	2.5¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	20¢	$2k	in 22 h
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?	Polymarket	43¢	$2k	in 22 h
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Argentina Presidential Election Winner	Polymarket	15¢	$2k	Oct 25
Will a Republican win the House race for NH-1?: Anthony DiLorenzo	Kalshi	5.5¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? NY-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	80¢	$1.9k	in 22 h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? CA-06 House Election Winner	Polymarket	96¢	$1.9k	in 22 h
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-24?: Kevin Burge	Kalshi	6.3¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?: Jake Johnson	Kalshi	40¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Idaho: Terri Pickens	Kalshi	1.8¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine	Polymarket	10¢	$1.9k	in 17 h
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat? PA-10 House Election Winner	Polymarket	83¢	$1.9k	in 22 h

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.