Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,585 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	7¢	$2k	in 21 h
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?	Polymarket	22¢	$2k	in 21 h
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Nov 1, 2026?: 38.3%	Kalshi	1¢	$2k	Nov 1
Will Republican win the House race for IN-08?: Mark Messmer	Kalshi	97¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for KS-03?: Eric Jenkins	Kalshi	2.5¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	20¢	$2k	in 21 h
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?	Polymarket	43¢	$2k	in 21 h
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Argentina Presidential Election Winner	Polymarket	15¢	$2k	Oct 25
Will a Republican win the House race for NH-1?: Anthony DiLorenzo	Kalshi	5.5¢	$2k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? NY-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	80¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? CA-06 House Election Winner	Polymarket	96¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will Republican win the House race for FL-04?: Aaron Bean	Kalshi	81¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Idaho: Terri Pickens	Kalshi	1.8¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine	Polymarket	10¢	$1.9k	in 16 h
Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?	Kalshi	11¢	$1.9k	Jan 20
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat? PA-10 House Election Winner	Polymarket	83¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 11 percentage points?: Ken Paxton, 11+ pts	Kalshi	2.6¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? South Dakota Senate Election Winner	Polymarket	0¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat? WI-03 House Election Winner	Polymarket	88¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 6 percentage points?: Flanagan, 6+ pts	Kalshi	66¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? PA-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	13¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-23?: Aaron Gies	Kalshi	3.7¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for WY-AL?: Lisa Kinney	Kalshi	1.8¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be at least 2%?: Angie Nixon, ≥2%	Kalshi	6.5¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?	Polymarket	0¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island?: Raymond McKay	Kalshi	0.7¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? PA-08 House Election Winner	Polymarket	88¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will a Democrat win the House race for OH-1?: Greg Landsman	Kalshi	95¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?	Polymarket	76¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? New York Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	34¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? Maryland Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	99¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner	Polymarket	58¢	$1.9k	in 16 h
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	2.3¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 2 percentage points?: Masterson, 2+ pts	Kalshi	59¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? IA-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	72¢	$1.9k	in 21 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 10 percentage points?: Cooper, 10+ pts	Kalshi	77¢	$1.9k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%? North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	20¢	$1.8k	in 21 h
Will Michigan Governor winner be Democratic party and Michigan Senate winner be Republican party?: Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win	Kalshi	20¢	$1.8k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? NY-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	12¢	$1.8k	in 21 h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 40%-45%? UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	3.2¢	$1.8k	in 21 h
Will Democratic win the House race for RI-02?: Seth Magaziner	Kalshi	97¢	$1.8k	Nov 3
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? Vermont Governor Election: Turnout	Polymarket	22¢	$1.8k	in 21 h
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?	Polymarket	95¢	$1.8k	Feb 1
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000? Ohio Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	6.5¢	$1.8k	in 21 h
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-4?: Laura Gillen	Kalshi	93¢	$1.8k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 12 percentage points?: Cooper, 12+ pts	Kalshi	66¢	$1.8k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	62¢	$1.8k	in 21 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?: Nixon, 2+ pts	Kalshi	9¢	$1.8k	Nov 3
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? Next James Bond actor?	Polymarket	0¢	$1.8k	Jan 1
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-06?: Brad Smith	Kalshi	8.9¢	$1.8k	Nov 3

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.