Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,585 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

to
MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-4?: Laura Gillen Kalshi 93¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 62¢ $1.8k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Husted, 3+ pts Kalshi 15¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
Next James Bond actor?
Polymarket 0¢ $1.8k Jan 1 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 11 percentage points?: Ossoff, 11+ pts Kalshi 61¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-06?: Brad Smith Kalshi 8.9¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Oklahoma?: Kevin Hern Kalshi 98¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
FL-13 House Election Winner
Polymarket 36¢ $1.8k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-34?: Vicente Gonzalez Kalshi 90¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Polymarket 15¢ $1.8k 0
Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?: Brad Finstad Kalshi 62¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election?: Aisha Wahab Kalshi 94¢ $1.8k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket 4.4¢ $1.8k 0
Will Josh Turek outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?: Yes Kalshi 48¢ $1.7k Nov 10 0
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 5 percentage points or less?: Florida (special) Kalshi 50¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket 6.5¢ $1.7k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Graham, 3+ pts Kalshi 45¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 290 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 290 Kalshi 5.5¢ $1.7k Jan 3 0
Will Texas US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate? Kalshi 41¢ $1.7k Dec 7 0
Will Democratic win the House race for IL-01?: Jonathan Jackson Kalshi 98¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 3 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 3+ pts Kalshi 68¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 12¢ $1.7k 0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?
FL-21 House Election Winner
Polymarket 89¢ $1.7k 0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
FL-25 House Election Winner
Polymarket 19¢ $1.7k 0
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket 0.8¢ $1.7k 0
Will Marco Rubio be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet? Kalshi 4¢ $1.7k Jan 20 1
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?: Hinson, 6+ pts Kalshi 13¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 115 and 119.99 million?: 115 to 119.99 million Kalshi 28¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will Iowa Governor winner be Republican party and Iowa Senate winner be Republican party?: Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win Kalshi 12¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 9 percentage points?: Flanagan, 9+ pts Kalshi 40¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 13500000?: Above 13.50M Kalshi 12¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
Polymarket 56¢ $1.7k 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 9%-12%?
CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 15¢ $1.7k 0
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
Polymarket 9.9¢ $1.7k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-14?: Shawn Harris Kalshi 2.1¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for MN-08?: Pete Stauber Kalshi 86¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? Kalshi 8.4¢ $1.7k Nov 7 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 5 percentage points?: Collins, 5+ pts Kalshi 10¢ $1.7k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
Polymarket 24¢ $1.7k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-29?: Sylvia Garcia Kalshi 98¢ $1.6k Nov 3 0
Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?: Yes Kalshi 42¢ $1.6k Jan 1 0
Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party?: John James and Abdul El-Sayed win Kalshi 1¢ $1.6k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket 3.1¢ $1.6k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisiana be at least 5 percentage points?: Letlow, 5+ pts Kalshi 56¢ $1.6k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket 2.1¢ $1.6k 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 6%-9%?
PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 17¢ $1.6k 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 18¢ $1.6k 0
Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner
Polymarket 38¢ $1.6k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for MA-01?: Richard Neal Kalshi 98¢ $1.6k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-07?: Lizzie Fletcher Kalshi 98¢ $1.6k Nov 3 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.