KalshiRules edited

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Edited between Nov 2 18:30 and 14:47 UTC (5 days window)
Yes9.6¢4.4¢4.7¢−5¢ before the edit, at detection, at the follow-up read
Post on X Every version of these rules Kalshi
+103 −33 wordsremovedadded
Rules+6−3
If John Fetterman leaves orleaves, announces that they are leavingleaving, or is expelled from the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
More rules+97−30
If John Fetterman leaves the Democratic party if, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, any of the following occurs:
John Fetterman changes their official party registration from Democratic to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or independent or unaffiliated status.
John Fetterman announces they are no longer a member of the Democratic party, orparty.
John Fetterman is expelled from the Democratic party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes. action.
If John Fetterman is a member of the U.S. Senate and, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027,Senate, John Fetterman announces they will no longer caucus with the Democratic party or begins caucusing with a different party, the market also resolves to Yes.party.

The following do NOT count:
Resignation from Congress or expulsion from Congress.
Temporary suspension from party activities or committees while remaining a member of the Democratic party.
Loss of party endorsement or support while remaining a member of the Democratic party.
Statements about considering leaving the Democratic party without actually leaving.
Being stripped of committee assignments while remaining a member of the Democratic party.

The window runs from my last check that saw the old text to the check that saw the new one. Neither venue says when it edited. Prices are the Yes side, read from Kalshi's API at those checks.

To cite this edit: RulesWatch, edit #7080, Nov 7, https://ruleswatch.com/change/7080. The address is permanent and the diff does not change. The date is when I detected the edit, within the window above. Link back when you reuse it. The venue's own page is the authority on the rules.

Did this edit change who should win?

Answer to see how other traders split. Holders' answers are counted apart.

This market's history

2 recorded changes