Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Nov 4 at 12:00pm ET?: Above 4.69%

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 4 days ago
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   Title

   Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Nov 4 at 12:00pm ET?

   Outcome

   Above 4.69%

   Rules

   If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.69% at Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

   Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

   Close time

   Nov 4, 2026, 16:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 11, 2026, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedNov 4, 2026, 17:05 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.