Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Nov 2 at 5:00am ET?: Above 4.82%
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- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
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- Title
- Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Nov 2 at 5:00am ET?
- Outcome
- Above 4.82%
- Rules
If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Nov 2, 2026 at 5:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.
Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
- Close time
- Nov 2, 2026, 09:59 UTC
- Expiration
- Nov 9, 2026, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
allowed
- 1First recordedNov 2, 2026, 10:00 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.
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