Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.51% on Nov 6 at 8:00am ET?: Above 4.51%

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
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   Title

   Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.51% on Nov 6 at 8:00am ET?

   Outcome

   Above 4.51%

   Rules

   If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.51% at Nov 6, 2026 at 8:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

   Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

   Close time

   Nov 6, 2026, 12:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 13, 2026, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedNov 6, 2026, 13:00 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.