Yes price
31¢
checked
24h volume
$1
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2035
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2035
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?
- Outcome
- Bola Tinubu
- Rules
If the President of Nigeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
- Close time
- Jan 1, 2035, 15:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Jan 1, 2035, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire early if a leader leaves office.
- 1First recordedNov 7, 2026, 14:57 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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