KalshiPoliticsTrading

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027

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Yes price
4.5¢
read on the next check
24h volume
$67
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
    Outcome
    Before Jan 1, 2027
    Rules

    If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 1, 2028, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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