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Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?: Above 200

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Yes price
40¢
checked
24h volume
$344
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 17, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 8

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 17, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
    Outcome
    Above 200
    Rules

    If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

    Close time
    Nov 17, 2026, 14:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Feb 15, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 8, 2026, 09:52 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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