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Will the Liberal Party win the next Brantford-Brant South federal by-election?

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Yes price
65¢
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24h volume
$400
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
May 2, 2028
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes May 2, 2028
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the Liberal Party win the next Brantford-Brant South federal by-election?
    Outcome
    Liberal
    Rules

    If the Liberal Party wins the next Brantford-Brant South federal by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    A party's candidate is the candidate registered with Elections Canada under that party's name, or under a registered party it merges into; an independent or other-party candidate a party backs does not count. A candidate registered under a listed party's own name counts only for that party; if a candidate would otherwise count for more than one listed party through a merger, the candidate counts only for the first of them in the order Liberal, Conservative, NDP and Green. A general election contest for this seat is not a by-election for this market.

    This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

    Close time
    May 2, 2028, 14:00 UTC
    Expiration
    May 2, 2028, 14:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 09:07 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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