RulesWatch
Dashboard
KalshiPoliticsTrading

Will Democrats win exactly 49 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

Checked .

Open on Kalshi
Share
Post on X
Badge and embed Download history (JSON)
Yes price
5¢
checked
24h volume
$120
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 3, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 3, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Democrats win exactly 49 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
    Outcome
    49
    Rules

    If the Democratic party has won exactly 49 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.

    Close time
    Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if all seats have been called and additional recounts/by-elections will not affect the market outcome.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 14:27 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Kalshi explains rulings on X or in support replies without editing the contract. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.