KalshiPoliticsTrading

Will Michigan US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate?

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Yes price
98¢
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24h volume
$0
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 10, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

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Closes Nov 10, 2026
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Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Michigan US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate?
    Outcome
    Michigan US Senate
    Rules

    If Michigan US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.

    Close time
    Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if all election results are certified.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 09:37 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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