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Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220 billion?: Below $220 billion

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Yes price
2.5¢
checked
24h volume
$2
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Feb 4, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Feb 4, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220 billion?
    Outcome
    Below $220 billion
    Rules

    If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $220 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Close time
    Feb 4, 2027, 13:29 UTC
    Expiration
    Feb 11, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 14:17 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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