ERCOT North Hub average power price above $30/MWh in Nov 2026?: Above $30/MWh

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
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   Title

   ERCOT North Hub average power price above $30/MWh in Nov 2026?

   Outcome

   Above $30/MWh

   Rules

   If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $30/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end.
   Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately.
   Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No.
   Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts.
   Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices.
   Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.

   Close time

   Dec 1, 2026, 05:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Dec 7, 2026, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

2. 1
   First recordedNov 7, 2026, 08:42 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.