Will Georgia expand Medicaid before Dec 31, 2028?: Yes

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 30 h ago
   Read the current rules

   Title

   Will Georgia expand Medicaid before Dec 31, 2028?

   Outcome

   Yes

   Rules

   If legislation expanding Medicaid eligibility to adults with incomes up to 138% of the federal poverty level is enacted in Georgia before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.

   Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods
   Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods
   Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes
   Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness

   The following do NOT constitute enactment:

   Legislative passage without completed executive action
   Passage by only some required bodies
   Provisional passage
   Non-binding resolutions
   Draft orders

   Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

   For this market, expanding Medicaid means a Georgia law, including a general appropriations Act, that extends Georgia Medicaid eligibility to adults with incomes up to 138% of the federal poverty level, or that directs or authorizes the Department of Community Health to do so, including by giving the legislative approval that Code Section 49-4-142.2 requires. It may contain other provisions and may use any legislative vehicle. A law that requires federal approval or takes effect after the deadline counts once enacted. A law that directs or authorizes the Department of Community Health to seek a federal waiver or state plan amendment covering adults with incomes up to 138% of the federal poverty level, including through private health plans paid for by Medicaid, counts. A law that takes effect only if voters approve a constitutional amendment counts once voters approve that amendment. A work or activity requirement does not prevent a law from counting.

   A law that only creates a public option or buy-in, continues or changes Georgia Pathways to Coverage without extending eligibility to adults with incomes up to 138% of the federal poverty level, raises the income limit to a level below 138% of the federal poverty level, orders a study, or requests a federal waiver that would not cover adults with incomes up to 138% of the federal poverty level, and any change that only affects Medicaid funding, provider payments or benefits, do NOT count.

   Close time

   Dec 31, 2028, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 7, 2029, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

2. 1
   First recordedNov 7, 2026, 17:52 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.