KalshiPoliticsTrading

Will the Republican Party win the 2028 House race for FL-12?: Republican party

Checked 4 h ago.

Open on Kalshi

Yes price

80¢

checked 4 h ago

24h volume

$11k

contracts, $1 each at most

Ends

Nov 7, 2029

in 1095 days

Recorded changes

tracked since Nov 8

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.

Yes price

Resolution

Trading

Closes Nov 7, 2029

Closed

Kalshi determines the result

Determined

Settles after a short timer

Settled

Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

~~removed~~added

1
Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 13 h ago

Read the current rules
Title
Will the Republican Party win the 2028 House race for FL-12?
Outcome
Republican party
Rules
If the House member sworn in for the 12th District of Florida for the term beginning in 2029 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
More rules
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
Close time
Nov 7, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Expiration
Nov 7, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Early close
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
1
First recordedNov 8, 2026, 11:02 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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Series facts

Series: KXHOUSERACE
Frequency: one off
Fee type: quadratic
Fee multiplier: 1
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
Contract terms: Kalshi contract terms (PDF)
Certification filing: Product certification (PDF)

Additional prohibitions (13)

Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of House campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs" (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g. the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University’s polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute "major" and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute "major" and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices

As House Race Winner? lists them on Kalshi, last updated Nov 5, 2026.

Key terms now

Outcome: Republican party
Close time: Nov 7, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Expiration: Nov 7, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Early close: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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