Will KPOW Midterms be above -22.5 at 5:00 PM EST on Nov 3, 2026?: Target: -22.5

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 5 days ago
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   Title

   Will KPOW Midterms be above -22.5 at 5:00 PM EST on Nov 3, 2026?

   Outcome

   Target: -22.5

   Rules

   If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 5:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026 is above -22.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. The target is the average ending at 5:00 PM EST on Nov 2, rounded to the nearest 0.1. Only trades at or before 5:00 PM EST on Nov 3 count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted.

   The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race, so a higher average is more Republican.

   The following do NOT count:
   Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 5:00 PM EST on Nov 3
   Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations

   A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

   Close time

   Nov 3, 2026, 22:00 UTC

   Expiration

   Nov 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   allowed

2. 1
   First recordedNov 3, 2026, 22:45 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.