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Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029?: Before Jan 1, 2029

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Yes price
37¢
checked
24h volume
$161
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2029
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2029
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029?
    Outcome
    Before Jan 1, 2029
    Rules

    If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.

    A statement that Narendra Modi will not lead the Bharatiya Janata Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election. A formal resignation after which he continues in office and is reappointed, such as the customary resignation after a general election, also does not count.

    If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

    For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2029, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 8, 2029, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 08:57 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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