Will Jared Polis be out as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027
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Yes price and rules edits
Resolution
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Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Title
- Will Jared Polis be out as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?
- Outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- Rules
If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
Jared Polis must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
- Close time
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- Expiration
- Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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