Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?: Yes
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- Title
- Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?
- Outcome
- Yes
- Rules
If a bill expanding the Supreme Court has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
A qualifying bill is legislation that would increase the number of Justices of the Supreme Court above nine. Only Justices who hear the Court's appellate cases count, so a term-limits or staggered-appointment bill qualifies if it would at any time have more than nine Justices hearing the Court's appellate cases; Justices in senior status, or who hear only original-jurisdiction cases, do not count. Legislation that changes only the Court's jurisdiction, procedures, ethics rules or term limits, adds seats to lower courts, or proposes a constitutional amendment fixing the Court's size does NOT qualify.
The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying increase. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
- Close time
- Jan 1, 2028, 05:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Jan 7, 2028, 15:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
- 1First recordedNov 7, 2026, 02:47 UTC
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