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Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?

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Yes price
1.9¢
checked
24h volume
$33
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 7

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?
    Outcome
    Russia
    Rules

    If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the U.S. State Department issues a qualifying advisory for the specific country.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 7, 2026, 14:42 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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