KalshiPoliticsTrading

Will Donald Trump make below 5 Truth Social posts on Nov 8, 2026?: <5

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Open on Kalshi
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Yes price
6.5¢
checked
24h volume
$13
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Nov 9, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 8

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Nov 9, 2026
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Donald Trump make below 5 Truth Social posts on Nov 8, 2026?
    Outcome
    <5
    Rules

    If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 8, 2026 is below 5, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    How this is resolved

    The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 8, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 8, 2026.
    The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
    In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

    Payout criteria

    Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
    Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
    "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

    Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

    Close time
    Nov 9, 2026, 04:59 UTC
    Expiration
    Feb 6, 2027, 05:00 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 8, 2026, 06:42 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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