Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?: Abbott by 6-9

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 9 days ago
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   Title

   Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

   Outcome

   Abbott by 6-9

   Rules

   If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

   Close time

   Jan 29, 2027, 14:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Apr 29, 2027, 14:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.