Will Mary Peltola receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?: At least 52%
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- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
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- Title
- Will Mary Peltola receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
- Outcome
- At least 52%
- Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More rules
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mary Peltola ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
- Close time
- Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
- Expiration
- Nov 3, 2027, 14:00 UTC
- Early close
This market will close and expire when election results are certified.
- 1First recordedNov 7, 2026, 11:02 UTC
Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.
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