Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 35 h ago
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   Title

   Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?

   Outcome

   Before Jan 1, 2027

   Rules

   If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election. Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.

   Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

   Close time

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

2. 1
   First recordedNov 7, 2026, 13:27 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.