Economy markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,609 open economy markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

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MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Dec 2026 press conference? Kalshi — — Dec 10 0
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?: 1 Kalshi — — Dec 9 0
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?: 3 Kalshi — — Dec 9 0
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q4 2026?: Above 1.5% Kalshi — — Jan 28 0
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2026?: Above 2.5% Kalshi — — Jan 28 0
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026?: Above 3.0% Kalshi — — Jan 28 0
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026?: Above 3.5% Kalshi — — Jan 28 0
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q4 2026?: Above 4.0% Kalshi — — Jan 28 0
India Nominal GDP in 2026?: above $5.4 trillion Kalshi — — Apr 1 0
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?: Above 5% Kalshi — — Jan 26 0
GDP growth in 2026?: 1.6% to 2.0% Kalshi — — Feb 28 0
GDP growth in 2026?: 2.1% to 2.5% Kalshi — — Feb 28 0
Will the gold close price be above 3814 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3814 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3844 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3844 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3854 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3854 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3864 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3864 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3874 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3874 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3884 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3884 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3894 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3894 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3904 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3904 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3914 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3914 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3924 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3924 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3934 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3934 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3944 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3944 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3954 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3954 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3964 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3964 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4004 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4004 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4034 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4034 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4064 USD/t.oz on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4064 Kalshi — — 0
Will the price of Gold be above 4300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?: 4,300 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the price of Gold be above 4400 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?: 4,400 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the price of Gold be above 4500 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?: 4,500 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the price of Gold be above 4700 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?: 4,700 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the price of Gold be above 5000 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?: 5,000 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will Silver outperform Gold? Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Will Gold outperform Silver? Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Will the gold close price be above 3727.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3727.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3867.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3867.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3887.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3887.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3907.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3907.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 3967.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $3967.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4007.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4007.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4027.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4027.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4047.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4047.99 Kalshi — — 0
Will the gold close price be above 4107.99 USD/t.oz on November 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?: Above $4107.99 Kalshi — — 0
Who will win Heisman Trophy?: Gunner Stockton Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Will the S&P 500 be above 7500 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,500 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,600 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be above 7700 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,700 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.