Will any independent or third party candidate win a House or Senate race?

Will any independent or third party candidate win a House or Senate race? is a Kalshi series in the Elections category, ticker KXUSINDEPENDENTCONGRESS. Kalshi lists 1 settlement source: the official electoral commission, constitutional court, or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction, and 3 additional prohibitions. Fee type: quadratic, multiplier 1. RulesWatch tracks 1 market in this series, 1 open.

Series facts

Ticker

KXUSINDEPENDENTCONGRESS

Category

Elections

Frequency

one off

Fee type

quadratic

Fee multiplier

1

Contract terms

Kalshi contract terms (PDF)

Certification filing

Product certification (PDF)

On Kalshi

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusindependentcongress

First recorded

Nov 8, 2026

Kalshi last updated the series

Nov 8, 2026

Settlement sources

• the official electoral commission, constitutional court, or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction

Additional prohibitions

3 prohibitions, as Kalshi lists them.

1. Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
2. Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
3. Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Changes recorded

No change to this series is recorded. RulesWatch has compared it with Kalshi's listing every day since Nov 8, 2026.

Markets in this series

1 tracked market, open first. Volume is 24-hour contracts at the last check.

Source: Kalshi's public API, read daily. The contract terms and the certification filing are Kalshi's documents, linked and not copied. See also the other series.