Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 9 days ago
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   Title

   Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

   Outcome

   Benjamin Netanyahu

   Rules

   If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.

   "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.

   Close time

   Jan 2, 2027, 03:17 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the person announces departure or actually leaves office.

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.