Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 18 h ago
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   Title

   Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027?

   Outcome

   Cyril Ramaphosa

   Rules

   If Cyril Ramaphosa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Africa or has actually left President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

   More rules

   An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.

   "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.

   Close time

   Jan 2, 2027, 03:17 UTC

   Expiration

   Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC

   Early close

   This market will close and expire early if the person announces departure or actually leaves office.

2. 1
   First recordedNov 8, 2026, 06:12 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.