Economy markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,633 open economy markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will above -25000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above -25,000	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will above 0 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 0	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will above 10000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 10,000	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will above 30000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 30,000	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will above 50000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 50,000	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will above 60000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 60,000	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 80,000	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?: Cuts	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?: Exactly 0 cuts	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?: Exactly 1 cut	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?: Exactly 2 cuts	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?: Exactly 1	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 3
Will there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?: Exactly 2	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 3
Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?: Exactly 3	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 3
Will data center power-cost standards become law before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be a recession in 2026?: Starts	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 31
Will there be a recession in 2027?: Yes	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 31
Will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000 before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000 before Feb 1, 2027?: Before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Feb 1
When will Stripe IPO?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
When will Stripe IPO?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?: 30% or above	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on critical minerals, where the executive action must explicitly reference critical minerals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?: Critical minerals	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 21
Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 38,000 in 2026?: At least 38,000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?: Above 5.6 million barrels/day	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?: Above 5.7 million barrels/day	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.8 million barrels/day?: Above 5.8 million barrels/day	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.9 million barrels/day?: Above 5.9 million barrels/day	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in November?: Above 4.0%	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 4
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in November?: Above 4.1%	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 4
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in November?: Above 4.3%	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 4
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in October?: Above 3.7%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in October?: Above 3.9%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in October?: Above 4.0%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in October?: Above 4.1%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in October?: Above 4.2%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in October?: Above 4.3%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in October?: Above 4.4%	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.5%?: Above 4.5%	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 7
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 5.0%?: Above 5.0%	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 7
How high will unemployment get before 2027?: Above 4.5%	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 8
Brazil unemployment rate in October 2026?: Above 5.2%	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 27
China unemployment rate in October 2026?: Above 5.6%	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 16
Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026?: Above 2.6%	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 26
Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026?: Above 2.7%	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 26
Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026?: Above 2.8%	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 26
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2027 be above 3.5%?: Above 3.5%	Kalshi	—	—	Feb 1

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.